Adéu a Nihil Obstat | Hola a The Catalan Analyst

Després de 13 anys d'escriure en aquest bloc pràcticament sense interrumpció, avui el dono per clausurat. Això no vol dir que m'hagi jubilat de la xarxa, sinó que he passat el relleu a un altra bloc que segueix la mateixa línia del Nihil Obstat. Es tracta del bloc The Catalan Analyst i del compte de Twitter del mateix nom: @CatalanAnalyst Us recomano que els seguiu.

Moltes gràcies a tots per haver-me seguit amb tanta fidelitat durant tots aquests anys.

divendres, 18 de maig de 2007

Només el retorn d'Israel a Gaza pot salvar els palestins

Els palestins de Gaza -no els desgraciats de Hamas i tota la trepa d'islamistes fanàtics- troben a faltar l'ordre de l'ocupació israeliana. Un ordre sever sens dubte, però previsible i bastant eficient. Un ordre -ho sento pels anarcoides- preferible al caos, perquè la diferència que hi ha entre el caos i l'ordre democràtic, fins i tot amb les limitacions d'una ocupació militar, és el que separa la vida previsible de la mort perquè si. Fins i tot ho diu Haaretz, el diari dels progres israelians. (Gràcies, Quico)

Four days into the current round in the Palestinian civil war in the Gaza Strip, with Fatah fighting Hamas, several phenomena have emerged:

1. Hamas has won every confrontation since fighting started Sunday. Its military dominance and supremacy are clear. Nearly all the fatalities have been from Hamas attacks. Even the five Hamas militants killed Wednesday died in an assault by their comrades against a Fatah force that took them hostage. Hamas is conducting itself like a military organization: It moves its forces, positions snipers, uses light artillery (mortars, for example), sets up ambushes in strategic locations, and systematically targets Fatah's leadership in the Gaza Strip, based on hit lists it has drafted.

2a. Fatah's leadership vacuum is the main reason for the group's defeat in the current round. Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas is still not showing signs of leadership. He is still afraid to take definitive action against Hamas, even though Hamas is harming the symbols of his authority. Last night he issued a statement, again, ordering a cease-fire, even though most of his men have been on the defensive since the fighting began and have not initiated action.

2b. The leadership vacuum is even more blatant given Mohammed Dahlan's absence from the region. The Palestinian national security adviser managed to rally Fatah's loyalist groups during the previous round of fighting. Dahlan even initiated action against Hamas, including the raid on the Islamic University, a hotbed of Hamas activity. It is not clear whether Hamas planned this current outbreak after confirming Dahlan was out of the picture, but the fact of the matter is that this round caught Dahlan hospitalized in Cairo following back surgery. If the fighting ends soon, Dahlan will come out as the only man in Fatah capable of preventing Gaza from falling to Hamas.

3. The Israel Defense Forces attack against the Hamas Executive Force headquarters in Rafah was not aimed at putting an end to the Qassams. Such attack actually may strengthen Hamas' standing among the Palestinians. But in view of television shots of Sderot being evacuated and given the approaching Labor primaries, the Israeli leadership is finding restraint difficult.

4. The Gazans are repeating one clear message: only Israeli occupation will save them. There is no other solution on the horizon.