Adéu a Nihil Obstat | Hola a The Catalan Analyst

Després de 13 anys d'escriure en aquest bloc pràcticament sense interrumpció, avui el dono per clausurat. Això no vol dir que m'hagi jubilat de la xarxa, sinó que he passat el relleu a un altra bloc que segueix la mateixa línia del Nihil Obstat. Es tracta del bloc The Catalan Analyst i del compte de Twitter del mateix nom: @CatalanAnalyst Us recomano que els seguiu.

Moltes gràcies a tots per haver-me seguit amb tanta fidelitat durant tots aquests anys.

dimecres, 3 de setembre de 2008

Ja ha perdut Obama les eleccions?

Tot i els esforços de la internacional mediàtica per presentar els repunts d'Obama en els sondejos electorals com una mostra de la seva imparable marxa cap a la Casa Blanca i d'apuntar amb tota la seva artilleria adjectival contra la senyora Palin, Obama sembla haver perdut ja les eleccions presidencials.

No només les desercions i crítiques en el camp demòcrata -l'última, la del senador Joe Lieberman, candidat a la vicepresidència pels demòcrates l'any 2000- sinó sobre tot per la incapacitat d'Obama d'anar més enllà de la retòrica i no haver ofert, per exemple, la vicepresidència a Hillary Clinton. És una incisiva anàlisi de Spengler que ens porta infaliblement Barcepundit.

Obama will spend the rest of his life wondering why he rejected the obvious road to victory, that is, choosing Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential nominee. However reluctantly, Clinton would have had to accept. McCain's choice of vice presidential candidate made obvious after the fact what the party professionals felt in their fingertips at the stadium extravaganza yesterday: rejecting Clinton in favor of the colorless, unpopular, tangle-tongued Washington perennial Joe Biden was a statement of weakness. McCain's selection was a statement of strength. America's voters will forgive many things in a politician, including sexual misconduct, but they will not forgive weakness.

That is why McCain will win in November, and by a landslide, barring some unforeseen event. Obama is the most talented and persuasive politician of his generation, the intellectual superior of all his competitors, but a fatally insecure personality. American voters are not intellectual, but they are shrewd, like animals. They can smell insecurity, and the convention stank of it. Obama's prospective defeat is entirely of its own making. No one is more surprised than Republican strategists, who were convinced just weeks ago that a weakening economy ensured a Democratic victory.